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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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SEASONAL UNEMPLOYMENT Unemployment attributable to relatively regular and predictable declines in particular industries or occupations over the course of a year, often corresponding with the climatic seasons. Unlike cyclical unemployment, which may or may not occur at any given time, seasonal unemployment is an essential part of many jobs. For example, a regular, run-of-the-mill, department store Santa Clause can count on 11 months of unemployment each year. Seasonal unemployment is one of four unemployment sources. The other three are cyclical unemployment, frictional unemployment, and structural unemployment.
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YELLOW CHIPPEROON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time driving to a factory outlet trying to buy either a replacement remote control for your stereo system or a computer that can play video games and burn DVDs. Be on the lookout for the last item on a shelf.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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The portrait on the quarter is a more accurate likeness of George Washington than that on the dollar bill.
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"Success is where preparation and opportunity meet." -- Bobby Unser, Race car driver
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BLS
Bureau of Labor Statistics
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