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January 27, 2026 

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FORECASTING: The process of anticipating and predicting economic conditions months or years before fact using statistical estimation techniques the model economic activity. Forecasting most often employs sophisticated mathematical models (with hundreds equations). However, specific measures (such as the stock market) or composite indexes that have been shown to lead economic activity (that is, leading economic indicator) are also effectively used for forecasting.

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INCOME RECEIVED BUT NOT EARNED

The three types of income received but not earned (IRBNE) are Social Security payments, unemployment compensation payments, and welfare payments. These are three key transfer payments from the government sector to the household sector. The basic goal of transfer payments is to transfer a portion of the income earned by the factors of production (because they HAVE income) to other members of the household sector (who presumably NEED more income than they have). IRBNE is added to national income to derive personal income.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time going from convenience store to convenience store looking to buy either a birthday greeting card for your grandmother or a coffee cup commemorating yesterday. Be on the lookout for the last item on a shelf.
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More money is spent on gardening than on any other hobby.
"Don't judge each day by the harvest you reap, but by the seeds you plant."

-- Robert Louis Stevenson, Author

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