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January 13, 2026 

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COINCIDENT ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of four economic statistics that tend to move up and down with the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. You can get a pretty good idea of what our economy's doing RIGHT NOW by looking at these. Coincident economic indicators are measurements that move with the aggregate economy. When a contraction starts, these indicators decline. During an expansion. these indicators rise. These indicators, and their siblings, leading economic indicators and lagging economic indicators are compiled by their parents, those pointy-headed economist at National Bureau of Economic Research.

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LONG-RUN TREND

The pattern of potential real gross domestic product of an economy based on full employment of available resources. The long-run trend is commonly represented as a positively-sloped line in a diagram depicting business-cycle phases. This slope captures the economy's expansion in its production possibilities resulting from increases in the quantity and quality of resources.

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APLS

BEIGE MUNDORTLE
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a dollar discount store hoping to buy either a blue mechanical pencil or super soft, super cuddly, stuffed animals. Be on the lookout for crowded shopping malls.
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Cyrus McCormick not only invented the reaper for harvesting grain, he also invented the installment payment for selling his reaper.
"I can't change the direction of the wind, but I can adjust my sails to always reach my destination."

-- Jimmy Dean

USDA
United States Department of Agriculture
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