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FORECASTING: The process of anticipating and predicting economic conditions months or years before fact using statistical estimation techniques the model economic activity. Forecasting most often employs sophisticated mathematical models (with hundreds equations). However, specific measures (such as the stock market) or composite indexes that have been shown to lead economic activity (that is, leading economic indicator) are also effectively used for forecasting.
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INFLATION A persistent increase in the average price level in the economy. It is measured by the inflation rate, the annual percentage change in a price index such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or GDP price deflator. Inflation is the most common phenomenon associated with the price level. Two related phenomena are deflation, a decrease in the price level, and disinflation, a decrease in the inflation rate. Inflation is one of two key macroeconomic problems. The other is unemployment.
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ORANGE REBELOON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time driving to a factory outlet seeking to buy either a box of multi-colored, plastic paper clips or several orange mixing bowls. Be on the lookout for slow moving vehicles with darkened windows.
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The word "fiscal" is derived from a Latin word meaning "moneybag."
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"I can't change the direction of the wind, but I can adjust my sails to always reach my destination." -- Jimmy Dean
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IARA
Increasing Absolute Risk Aversion
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