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BUSINESS CYCLE INDICATORS: Assorted economic statistics that provide valuable information about the expansions and contractions of business cycles. These statistics are grouped into three sets--lagging, coincident, and leading. Leading economic indicators tend to move up or down a few months BEFORE business-cycle expansions and contractions. Coincident economic indicators tend to reach their peaks and troughs AT THE SAME TIME as business cycles. Lagging economic indicators tend to rise or fall a few months AFTER business-cycle expansions and contractions.
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THREE-SECTOR INJECTIONS-LEAKAGES MODEL A variation of the Keynesian injections-leakages model that includes the three domestic sectors--the household sector, the business sector, and the government sector. This model provides an alternative to the three-sector aggregate expenditures (Keynesian cross) analysis of government stabilization policies, especially how fiscal policy changes in government purchases and taxes can be used to close recessionary gaps and inflationary gaps. Equilibrium is identified as the intersection between the S + T line and the I + G line. Two related variations are the two-sector injections-leakages model and the four-sector injections-leakages model.
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RED AGGRESSERINE
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a flea market seeking to buy either a replacement battery for your pocket calculator or a how-to book on home remodeling. Be on the lookout for telephone calls from former employers.
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Okun's Law posits that the unemployment rate increases by 1% for every 2% gap between real GDP and full-employment real GDP.
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"Always dream and shoot higher than you know how to. Don't bother just to be better than your contemporaries or predecessors. Try to be better than yourself." -- William Faulkner, writer
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SSRN
Social Science Research Network
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