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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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THEORY

An empirically verified, interrelated body of general principles, axioms, and assumptions that is used to explain and understand real world phenomena. Theories are the cornerstone of the scientific method. They generate the hypotheses that are verified against real world data. The construction and refinement of theories, accomplished through the hypothesis verification process, is the primary goal of doing science.

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APLS

ORANGE REBELOON
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time at a garage sale looking to buy either a green and yellow striped sweater vest or a Boston Red Sox baseball cap. Be on the lookout for the happiest person in the room.
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The average length of a "business lunch" is about 36 minutes.
"There is no passion to be found playing small ‚ in settling for a life that idles than the one you are capable of living."

-- Nelson Mandela

AVC
Average Variable Cost
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