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UNDERGROUND ECONOMY: Illegal and unreported market transactions and productive activity that escape the watchful eyes of official record keepers. By most estimates, a substantial amount of productive activity takes place in the underground economy for the United States. Of course, these are only estimates because such activity, by definition, goes unreported. Were activity in the underground economy added to official activity in the "overground" economy, then gross domestic product could be boosted by as much as 25% to 50%, or more.

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CONSUMER CONFIDENCE, AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES DETERMINANT

One of several specific aggregate expenditures determinants assumed constant when the aggregate expenditures line is constructed, and that shifts the aggregate expenditures line when it changes. An increase in consumer confidence causes an increase (upward shift) of the aggregate expenditures line. A decrease in consumer confidence causes a decrease (downward shift) of the aggregate expenditures line. Other notable aggregate expenditures determinants include interest rates, federal deficit, inflationary expectations, and exchange rates.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching the newspaper want ads hoping to buy either a pair of red goulashes with shiny buckles or a handcrafted bird feeder. Be on the lookout for neighborhood pets, especially belligerent parrots.
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The first "Black Friday" on record, a friday marked by a major financial catastrophe, occurred on September 24, 1869 -- A FRIDAY -- when an attempted cornering of the gold market induced a financial crises and economy-wide depression.
"No task is a long one but the task on which one dare not start: It becomes a nightmare. "

-- Charles Baudelaire, poet-critic

MA(N)
A nth-order Moving Average Process
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