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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.

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FALLACY OF PERSONAL ATTACK

The logical fallacy of arguing that something is bad because someone "associated" with the thing is ugly, has a funny nose, drives a foreign car, regularly watches daytime soap operas, or wears outdated clothing. This fallacy of personal attack runs rampant in the political arena. Some politicians promote the notion that only good people propose good policies, while bad people have bad policies. The fact of the matter is that good people propose bad policies and bad people propose good policies.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time browsing through a long list of dot com websites hoping to buy either one of those memory foam pillows or a remote controlled train set. Be on the lookout for infected paper cuts.
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One of the largest markets for gold in the United States is the manufacturing of class rings.
"The world is not dangerous because of those who do harm but because of those who look at it without doing anything. "

-- Albert Einstein, physicist

ANOVA
Analysis of Variance
A PEDestrian's Guide
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