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RECOVERY: A early expansionary phase of the business cycle shortly after a contraction has ended, but before a full-blown expansion begins. During a recovery, the unemployment rate remains relatively high, but it is beginning to fall. Real gross domestic product has begun to increase, usually rapidly. However, because the contraction remains fresh in the minds of many, it may not be immediately clear that the trough of the contraction has been reached.

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SUPPLY DECREASE

A decrease in the willingness and ability of sellers to sell a good at the existing price, illustrated by a leftward shift of the supply curve. A decrease in supply is caused by a change in a supply determinant and results in a decrease in equilibrium quantity and an increase in equilibrium price. A supply decrease is one of two supply shocks to the market. The other is a supply increase.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time touring the new suburban shopping complex looking to buy either a genuine down-filled pillow or one of those "hang in there" kitty cat posters. Be on the lookout for defective microphones.
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Okun's Law posits that the unemployment rate increases by 1% for every 2% gap between real GDP and full-employment real GDP.
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