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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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PRODUCER PRICE INDEX An index of the prices domestic producers receive from selling their output. THE Producer Price Index (PPI) is actually one of several producer price indexes compiled and published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Others track prices for different industries and goods. This is also one of several noted price indexes used to track economic activity. Others include the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the GDP price deflator.
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GRAY SKITTERY
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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time searching for a specialty store trying to buy either a birthday gift for your grandmother or a T-shirt commemorating yesterday. Be on the lookout for telephone calls from long-lost relatives.
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Two and a half gallons of oil are needed to produce one automobile tire.
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"Lord, where we are wrong, make us willing to change; where we are right, make us easy to live with. " -- Peter Marshall, US Senate chaplain
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NLS
National Longitudinal Survey
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