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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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DEMAND DETERMINANTS Five ceteris paribus factors that affect demand, but which are assumed constant when a demand curve is constructed. They are buyers' income, buyers' preferences, other prices, buyers' expectations, and number of buyers. Changes in the demand determinants cause shifts of the demand curve and disruptions of the market.
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YELLOW CHIPPEROON
[What's This?]
Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time flipping through mail order catalogs wanting to buy either a set of luggage without wheels or a how-to book on wine tasting. Be on the lookout for broken fingernail clippers.
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This isn't me! What am I?
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A half gallon milk jug holds about $50 in pennies.
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"New ideas pass through three periods: - It can't be done. - It probably can be done, but it's not worth doing. - I knew it was a good idea all along!" -- Arthur C. Clarke
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ARCH
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity
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