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KONDRATIEFF CYCLE: A cycle of economic activity lasting between 45 and 60 years that acquired the name of the first economist to study it, the Russian economist N. D. Kondratieff. The Kondratieff cycle is somewhat controversial and has been attributed to a number of different causes, including investment in transportation infrastructure. This is one of four separate cycles of macroeconomic activity that have been documented or hypothesized. The other three are Kitchin cycle, Juglar cycle, and Kuznets cycle.

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FALLACY OF FALSE CAUSE

The logical fallacy of arguing that two events have a causal connection because they are correlated (that is, happen at about the same time). In other words, one event is erroneously assumed to cause the other. This fallacy is the nemesis of the ongoing scientific pursuit to discover the laws of cause and effect.

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Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time calling an endless list of 800 numbers hoping to buy either a coffee cup commemorating the 2000 Olympics or a birthday gift for your grandmother. Be on the lookout for slow moving vehicles with darkened windows.
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In the Middle Ages, pepper was used for bartering, and it was often more valuable and stable in value than gold.
"I don't subscribe to the thesis, 'Let the buyer beware,' I prefer the disregarded one that goes, 'Let the seller be honest.'"

-- Isaac Asimov, Author

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