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LEADING ECONOMIC INDICATOR: One of eleven economic statistics that tend to move up or down a few months before the expansions and contractions of the business cycle. These leading indicators are -- manufacturers new orders, an index of vendor performance, orders for plant and equipment, Standard & Poor's 500 index of stock prices, new building permits, durable goods manufacturers unfilled orders, the money supply, change in materials prices, average workweek in manufacturing, changes in business and consumer credit, a consumer confidence index, and initial claims for unemployment insurance. Leading indicators indicate what the aggregate economy is likely to do, business-cycle-wise, 3 to 12 months down the road. When leading indicators rise today, then the rest of the economy is likely to rise in the coming year. And when leading indicators decline, then the economy is likely to decline in 3 to 12 months.
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WHITE GULLIBON
Your compete MICRO*scope for today
You are the type of person who is somewhat unsophisticated and vulnerable. Family and friends let you pick up the check when dinning out. Today, you are likely to spend a great deal of time browsing about a thrift store seeking to buy either one of those "hang in there" kitty cat posters or a velvet painting of Elvis Presley. Be on the lookout for vindictive digital clocks with revenge on their minds. You should consider shopping at stores or businesses beginning with the letter N, but do not buy any products with a serial number or product code containing the number 563977. Your preferred shopping venue is television shopping channels. Your special symbol is the minus sign (-).
Is this You?
As a White Gullibon, you are extremely trusting but somewhat impressionable, seeing only the good in other people. You tend to be a bit naive in the wily ways of the marketplace and thus are often exploited by others, especially the Reg Aggressorine. Like it or not, you are the poster child for the phrase "let the buyer beware." You are empathetic to the plight of others, often to your own detriment.
This isn't me! What am I?
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SELF CORRECTION, INFLATIONARY GAP The automatic process in which the aggregate market eliminates an inflationary gap created by a short-run equilibrium that is greater than full employment through increases in wages (and other resource prices). The self-correction mechanism is triggered by short-run resource market imbalances that are closed by long-run price flexibility. The self-correction process of the aggregate market also acts to close a recessionary gap with lower wages (and other resource prices).
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Fact 1: Our Limited PieThe first stop for any pedestrian on a leisurely stroll through the busy economic streets of Shady Valley is Scarcity Stan's Ye Olde Bakery Shoppe and Confectionery Palace. The most noted pastry on Scarcity Stan's list of delectables, wedged between his mouth-watering apple danishes and scrumptious jelly donuts, is economic pie. My mouth waters with the thought. Economic pie isn't like other donuts, cakes, and confectioneries with their gobs of sweetness, but very little nutritional sustenance. In fact, given that it refers to the sum total of the economy's resources and productive activity, economic pie is filled to the brim with sustenance. Unfortunately, Scarcity Stan and the congregation of people we call society, has only one economic pie, and while it's pretty large, it's never quite as big as we would like.
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Natural gas has no odor. The smell is added artificially so that leaks can be detected.
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"He who hesitates is poor. " -- Mel Brooks, writer, director, comedian
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WPI Wholesale Price Index
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